Saturday, November 10, 2012

TrackBack - Florida Real Estate Blog - Typepad

SEATTLE ? Nov. 9, 2012 ? While ?foreclosure? remains a buzzword for bargain seekers, a study finds that the actual discount off a ?normal? price is far less than it used to be.

Foreclosure Signs JTEAccording to a study by Zillow, the national average discount of a real estate owned (REO) property compared to a non-REO was only 7.7 percent in September ? a sizable change from the 23.7 percent average discount that peaked nationally in August 2009 and less than the average 9.1 percent discount one year earlier.

In some areas of Florida, REOs aren?t a bargain at all. Zillow included three Florida metro areas in its analysis and claims an average REO savings of only 2.9 percent in the Miami-Fort Lauderdale market ? a significant drop from the peak of 22.7 percent in August 2008 and a notable decline year-to-year; in September 2011, a South Florida REO sold for 6.8 percent less.

In Tampa, a REO in September 2012 sold for 9 percent less than a non-REO sale, down slightly from the 9.6 percent discount one year earlier, but significantly lower than the peak 29.1 percent discount recorded in November 2008.

In Orlando, the REO discount of 4.6 percent rose slightly year-to-year; in September 2011, it was 2 percent. However, both numbers are down from the peak 24.4 percent discount for a REO recorded in January 2010.

In two cities ? Phoenix and Las Vegas ? REOs no longer come with a discount, with sale prices roughly equal to other home sales.

Dollar Signs - JTE?The smallest foreclosure discount is found in places where competition for homes? is high, says Zillow Chief Economist Dr. Stan Humphries. ?People are willing to pay the same amount for a foreclosure re-sale that they would for a non-distressed home simply to take advantage of historic affordability.???

Year-over-year foreclosure discounts fell in roughly three-quarters (76.9 percent) of metro areas analyzed, and all metros are down from their peak. Nationwide, foreclosure discounts reached their height in 2008 and 2009, and in some areas peaked at more than 30 percent.

? 2012 Florida Realtors?

Reprinted with permission. Florida Realtors?. All rights reserved.

Source: http://pascoflrealestate.typepad.com/john_elwell_realtor/2012/11/foreclosures-no-longer-equal-bargains-conventional-sales-often-a-better-deal-for-many.html

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Saturday, November 3, 2012

Delta's key revenue measure up in October, but storm hurt

(Reuters) - Delta Air Lines said on Friday that a key revenue measure improved in October, helped by corporate travel and cancellations in the wake of superstorm Sandy.

The airline, which canceled more than 3,500 flights last month because of the storm, said Sandy had hurt October revenue by $45 million and likely shaved about $20 million from the carrier's October profit. It estimated that the storm's effect on November revenue and profit would be less than October.

Unit revenue, a measure of pricing power and how full planes are, rose 5.5 percent in October from a year earlier. The cancellations caused a 2 percent reduction in Delta's systemwide capacity in October from a year ago.

Delta said the improvement in unit revenue, also known as passenger revenue per available seat mile, was about one percentage point higher than it would have been without the impact of the hurricane. Cancellations tend to help unit revenue as more travelers are put on remaining flights. Delta's percentage of seats filled systemwide in October was 84.6 percent, up from 82.8 percent a year earlier.

Delta said that it was operating close to a full schedule at New York's John F. Kennedy airport and Newark Liberty in New Jersey as its New York operations were restored after the storm, which forced airport closures.

The airline, which is based in Atlanta, said it expected a full schedule on Friday at LaGuardia, where it offers roughly 260 flights a day.

U.S. airlines canceled nearly 20,000 flights this week, and analysts expect a material earnings hit from Sandy.

David Fintzen, a Barclays analyst, said in a note to clients late this week that airline profits could suffer $200 million in the fourth quarter because of the storm. He is projecting a collective pretax profit of $450 million for major airlines excluding AMR Corp's American, which is operating under Chapter 11 bankruptcy.

He added New York-based JetBlue and US Airways , which has a hub in Philadelphia, likely have the most relative exposure to impact from the storm.

"We think U.S. airlines overall can still be profitable in an off-peak quarter after accounting for the hurricane," Fintzen wrote.

Shares of Delta were off 1 percent at $9.60. Other airline stocks edged down, with United Continental off 0.4 percent at $19.41, US Airways down 0.5 percent at $12.49 and Southwest Airlines down 0.3 percent to $9.02.

(Reporting by Karen Jacobs; Editing by Phil Berlowitz)

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/delta-says-key-revenue-measure-october-storm-hurt-141234041--finance.html

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U.S. renews sanctions, Sudan criticizes decision

WASHINGTON/KHARTOUM (Reuters) - President Barack Obama renewed U.S. sanctions on Sudan on Friday, acknowledging Khartoum had resolved disputes with South Sudan but warning that Darfur and other conflicts still impeded normal ties, the State Department said.

Khartoum reacted by accusing the United States of "double standards".

The order maintains several sets of U.S. sanctions imposed since 1997 that restrict U.S. trade and investment with Sudan and block the assets of the Sudanese government and certain officials.

Conflicts in Sudan's South Kordofan and Blue Nile states, which border South Sudan, threaten regional stability and the lack of humanitarian access to the regions remains "very serious", the State Department said in a statement.

Hundreds of thousands of people have fled their homes in South Kordofan and Blue Nile states since clashes between government forces and the rebel Sudan People's Liberation Movement North (SPLM-N) broke out more than a year ago.

Sudan and South Sudan, which broke away last year under a peace deal that ended a decades-long civil war, signed deals in September to resolve border and security issues left over from their partition.

But issues such as the status of the contested Abyei region also posed a threat to security, the State Department said.

"Addressing these concerns is necessary for a peaceful Sudan and would enable the United States and Sudan to move towards a normalized relationship," it said.

Khartoum criticized the sanctions decision which it said was aimed at stymieing development in the country and pressuring Sudan to make concessions to American interests in the region.

"The American administration has acknowledged more than once that Sudan has honored its commitments but the American administration, time and again, has withdrawn from its promises ... to lift the sanctions," the foreign ministry said.

Many Sudanese officials expected the United States to take steps to normalize relations with Khartoum after the South seceded peacefully last year, and have been disappointed by the renewal of the trade sanctions.

More than 2 million people died in Sudan's civil war, fought between north and south for most years between 1955 and 2005 over religion, ideology, ethnicity and oil.

(Reporting by Paul Eckert and Alexander Dziadosz; Editing by Robert Woodward)

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/u-renews-sanctions-sudan-criticizes-decision-073148348.html

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Reversal of fortunes sends Spaniards to Latin America

MEXICO CITY/MADRID (Reuters) - After joining the euro in 1999, Spain's economic boom made it the land of opportunity for millions of Latin American migrant workers.

But since the decade-long boom turned to bust roughly four years ago, many of those immigrants have returned, joined by a growing number of disillusioned Spaniards who hope that Latin America, with its developing economies and low cost of living, has more to offer.

Spaniards are traditionally reluctant to emigrate and they are among the least likely in Europe to go abroad for work. But with the unemployment rate at 25 percent, more Spaniards are ready to leave behind the comforts of home.

"Europe has gone down the toilet," said 45-year-old Xavi Berdala, a former photographer from Barcelona who moved to Mexico in July to open a pizza restaurant. "People now see Latin America with more respect, more possibilities."

Roughly 370,000 people emigrated from Spain in 2011, 10 times more than before the economy tanked in 2008.

Although about 86 percent of them were naturalized immigrants born abroad, there is also a growing number of native Spaniards saying "ya basta" ("enough is enough"). Over 50,000 left last year, up 80 percent since before the crisis hit.

More than 9,000 went to Latin America, up from about 3,600 in 2006, said Jesus Fernandez Huertas of Spanish think tank Fedea, citing data from the national statistics office.

The reasons for leaving are clear. Spain's economy is in recession for the second time since 2009 and half of all residents under 25 who are looking for work can't find a job.

More than one in five people live below the poverty line and unemployment benefits end after a maximum of 30 months.

"The situation in Spain won't get better for another five years at least," said Olmo del Paso, a cameraman who left Spain for Uruguay this month after being jobless for over two years and being forced to move back into his mother's house in the small northern town of Palencia.

When a hotel in Montevideo, Uruguay, offered him a job as caretaker over the summer months, the 34-year-old bought a one-way ticket and packed his bags.

"I'm nervous leaving my family and friends," he said. "But I can't carry on like this. I have to at least try."

Spain has based its budget plan for next year on a recession of 0.5 percent, but most economists say it is wildly optimistic. The International Monetary Fund, or IMF, expects the economy to contract 1.5 percent this year and another 1.3 percent in 2013.

By contrast, the IMF envisages a 3.9 percent expansion next year across Latin America and the Caribbean.

Between 2007 and 2011, the number of native Spaniards emigrating to Chile rose by 144 percent, to Mexico by 129 percent, to Venezuela by 114 percent, and to Portuguese-speaking Brazil, the biggest economy in Latin America, by 227 percent.

The number leaving for Ecuador soared 467 percent. Ecuadorean migrants had swarmed to Spain to work in the booming construction industry and, now that it is in crisis, many are returning, some with Spanish-born partners and children.

"It's sad that the Ecuadoreans are coming home, because they went to Spain for the same reasons I came here. Because there's no work and life is tough," said Miguel Sanchez, a 42-year-old former building site foreman who moved with his Ecuadorean wife and son to Ecuador in 2010.

In Spain, he went without work for eight months after the housing bubble, fed by cheap loans, burst in 2008, sending shockwaves throughout the economy. In Ecuador, he is now a bodyguard for a local businessman in the city of Guayaquil.

Far fewer Latin Americans are heading to Spain. In 2007, almost 314,000 were granted residency and by 2011 that was down to 119,416, according to official data.

'INTENSE PRESSURE'

Spain, the euro zone's fourth largest economy and the current focus of its almost three-year-long debt crisis, is under intense pressure to reduce its public deficit and prove to nervous investors it can put its finances in order.

Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy, in power since December, has responded to Spain's crisis by slashing spending. That has cut deeply in to education, training schemes and state-supported internships.

Critics say the policies will push Spain deeper into recession and optimists concede that things will get worse before they get better.

"The best solution for younger unemployed is unfortunately to leave Spain," JP Morgan said in a note.

Some of the young are listening. The vast majority of those leaving Spain are between 20 and 40 years old.

From 2000, Spain's population showed solid annual growth, almost entirely due to immigration, but the pace dropped sharply in 2008 and it began to shrink last year. Some estimates suggest its 46 million population could fall by 1 million by 2020.

During the dictatorship of General Francisco Franco, from the end of the civil war in 1936 to his death in 1975, hundreds of thousands of people fled oppression to Europe and the Americas.

The recent jump in Spanish emigration has prompted some to draw parallels, although that's a stretch.

"It's ridiculous to call this an exodus as it doesn't compare to the enormous levels of emigration in the years following the civil war and in the late sixties," said Fernandez Huertas at Fedea. "But the speed of the rise is certainly noteworthy."

Massive population drains can often be detrimental to an economy, but with the outlook already grim, it may help.

"It might net a positive if they're going to be sending remittances back to their families," said Bill Adams, senior international economist for U.S.-based bank PNC. "It's a strange inversion to think of Spanish immigrants in Latin America sending remittances back to Spain."

Between 2007 and 2011 remittances to Spain by Spanish migrants rose 7.5 percent to a record 5.7 billion euros ($7.4 billion).

Nieves Mendez, a Mexico City dance instructor originally from the Spanish island of Tenerife, emigrated to Mexico when she struggled to find anything better than retail work after graduation.

Back in Spain's Canary Islands, her mother and sister are unemployed. Her grandmother, who lives with them on a 200 euro a month pension, cares for Mendez's disabled aunt.

"And I'm here, doing everything I can to send them something, however small," said Mendez, 31. "Just a little so I know they're not doing too badly."

($1 = 0.7716 euros)

(Additional reporting by Yury Garcia in Guayaquil and Malena Castaldi in Montevideo.; Editing by Dave Graham and Kieran Murray)

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/reversal-fortunes-sends-spaniards-latin-america-152320809--business.html

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